The Greenback Bet on Hillary Clinton


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On Monday, the U.S. dollar rose as much as 1% after the FBI said that U.S. democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton would not face criminal charges over her emails. The U.S. dollar index rose 1% and settled at 97.80.

The greenback declined last week when the FBI said that the agency was looking at another large batch of Hillary Clinton emails, strengthening chances of a Trump victory, an outcome that was seen as likely to send shock message to financial markets.

Gold prices fell to $1,280 and the dollar rose. The precious metal could face a cautious trading day due to the convergence of polls right before the election. The yellow metal is likely to trade under pressure amid concerns that the Federal’s policy may change if trump becomes the president of the United States. 

USD was positively affected by the FBI’s announcement and settled at ¥104.  Technically, the greenback could touch ¥107, if Hillary becomes the president of the United States. 

Retail sales in the euro-zone fell by 0.2% in September from August. It was the second in a row, mainly caused by a decline in sales of non-food products. On the other hand, the Sentix Institute's index of euro-area investment sentiment touched its highest level in a year. Despite this, Fiber failed to maintain its gains vs. USD and fell to the resistance level of $1.10.

Oil prices rose as much as 1% yesterday, supported by the news that Clinton would not face criminal charges over her emails. On the other hand, prices traded under pressure amid concerns over the global glut.

The most important economic events:

  • USD US Presidential Elections (All Day) Important
  • GBP Industrial Production (YoY) (SEP): (GMT 11:30) – Medium – Forecast (0.8%) – Previous (0.7%).

The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM Capital Limited. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.

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