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All Eyes Turn To the U.S. Federal and the BoE

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On Tuesday, Gold touched its highest level in a month after USD declined amid uncertainty surrounding the outcomes of the U.S. Presidential Election. The precious metal settled at $1,290 as a new poll suggested Republican candidate Donald Trump could win the presidency.

Markets are awaiting the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes, which are likely to come in line with the previous market expectations of victory for the Democratic candidate, which could boost the USD.

On the other hand, there are concerns that the Federal’s policy may change if Clinton does not make it to the White House. The U.S. dollar index fell as much as 60 pips yesterday and settled at 97.70.

As the Fed's minutes could affect the precious metal negatively, it could settle around the resistance level of $1,300 during the week.

GBP settled at $1.2274 after Mark Carney said he would extend his term in office until 2019.

The BoE could keep its monetary policy unchanged as Britain's economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter of 2016. While inflation declined to its lowest level in two years, which dash the hopes of a new cut in interest rates during the current meeting.

Oil prices failed to maintain their gains that were obtained after OPEC members approved a document outlining the exporter group's long-term strategy. U.S. crude touched $46 before recovering. Technically, as U.S. crude is trading under pressure, it could decline to $45 during the week due to the lack of confidence in the markets, concerning reaching an agreement to cut production.

The most important economic events:

  • EUR German Unemployment Change (OCT): (GMT 10:55) – Important – Forecast (-1k) – Previous (-1k).
  • EUR German Unemployment Rate s.a. (OCT): (GMT 10:55) – Important – Forecast 6.1%) – Previous (6.1%).
  • USD Federal Open Market Committee Rate Decision (NOV 2): (GMT 20:00) – Important – Forecast (0.50%) – Previous (0.50%).
  • USD FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound) (NOV 2): (GMT 20:00) – Important – Forecast (0.25%) – Previous (0.25%).

Disclaimer
The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM Capital Limited. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.

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