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Dollar Rose vs. EUR

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USD rose vs. EUR backed by the global stock rally and stronger-than-expected reading on Chinese exports. On the other hand, the greenback pared some of its gains after official U.S. data failed to bounce back in March.

USD index rose by .070 points vs. a basket of currencies and settled at 94.70.

EUR declined below $1.13 vs. USD, negatively affected Euro-area industrial production fell the most in 18 months in February; data from Eurostat showed output declined 0.8%. The pair could decline further to $1.12. 

GBP/USD fell to $1.42 and continued its losses against dollar after an opinion poll showed the "Out" campaign 3 points in front before June's referendum.  Traders will turn their attention to the release of the GBP Bank of England Rate Decision, later today.

USD posted high gains vs. JPY and traded at 109.39, positively affected by good China trade data. The greenback could re-test levels of 110 during the course of the day, while fears surrounding the global economy, could lead the Yen to a new wave rising.

Gold prices declined to $1,241 negatively affected by strong USD and recovery of Asian and European markets. The precious metal could settle around $1,240 to $1,250. However, the yellow metal could decline further to 1,225.

Oil prices declined as US oil inventories rose 6.6 million barrels last week, far more than the 1.8-million barrel increase projected. WTI declined to $41.50, negatively affected by US oil inventory data. 

The most important economic events:

  • GBP Bank of England Rate Decision (APR 14): (GMT 13:00) important – Forecast (0.50%) – Previous (0.50%)
  • GBP BOE Asset Purchase Target (APR): (GMT 13:00) important – Forecast (375b) – Previous (375b)
  • USD Consumer Price Index (YoY) (MAR): (GMT 14:30) important – Forecast (1.1%) – Previous (1.0%)
  • USD Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY) (MAR): (GMT 14:30) important – Forecast (2.3%) – Previous (2.3%)
  • EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (MoM) (MAR): (GMT 11:00) important – Forecast (1.2%) – Previous (0.2%)

Disclaimer
The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM Capital Limited. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.

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