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USD Recovers

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Global Stock markets declined after weak Chinese factory data revived fears of slowing global growth. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates to new historic lows on Tuesday, sending benchmark treasury yields to nearly two-week lows.

Activity at China's factories contracted for the 14th straight month in April; amid concerns over demand and recession, according to a private survey conducted by HSBC. As China is now the world's largest net oil importer; oil prices declined, negatively affected by such data. 

USD recovered vs. a basket of currencies with the start of the US session, positively affected by Atlanta’s Fed President Dennis Lockhart’s statement as he said the U.S could see two further interest rate hikes this year, however depending on the strength of the economy.

USD index pared its losses and touched levels of 93.

Euro fell to $1.15, negatively affected by Dennis Lockhart’s statement and could settle at $1.15.

GBP fell yesterday, as Britain's manufacturing sector declined more than expected in April, at the same time, a recent UK poll showed 45% are against a “Brexit” campaign and 44% are for staying in the European Union. The pound touched $1.45, breaking the resistance level of $1.4450. This could open the door for further declines. 

Dollar pared its losses against Yen and traded at 106.50, however, the greenback could rise further amid global economic uncertainty.

Gold declined to $1,282 negatively affected by profit taking with the rise of the dollar. The yellow metal is awaiting U.S job data for the private sector later on today and could re-test levels of $1,300 once again.

Oil prices fell after Chinese data showed a decline in the nation's manufacturing sector. WTI dropped to $44 and could decline further. 

The most important economic events:

  • USD ISM Non-Manufacturing/Services Composite (APR): (GMT 16:00) – Important – Forecast (54.8) Previous (54.5).
  • USD Factory Orders (MAR): (GMT 16:00) – Important – Forecast (0.6%) Previous (-1.7%).
  • USD Durable Goods Orders (MAR F): Important – Forecast (0.8%) Previous (0.8%).

Disclaimer
The prices and news mentioned in this outlook are absolutely no guarantee of future market performance and do not represent the view of ICM Capital Limited. Financial markets can move in either direction causing profits to be made or complete losses to be incurred by the trader. Each trader must decide for themselves what their risk appetite is and ensure that correct risk management procedures are in place before placing any trades.

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